Allin top pair and nut flush draw

[Mr.Fivestring]

Villians stats are 21/6/6.6

My question is, How do people feel about getting it in on the flop with top pair and a good primary draw. This is not a hand I would normaly play from UTG, but this table was allowing lots of limpers.





PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

saw flop|saw showdown

UTG+1 ($203.60)
MP1 ($220.55)
MP2 ($308.30)
MP3 ($146.10)
CO ($204.65)
Button ($189)
SB ($201)
BB ($322.20)
Hero ($294.65)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/spade.gif, Thttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/spade.gif.
Hero calls $2, UTG+1 calls $2, 3 folds, CO calls $2, Button calls $2, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($12) Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/club.gif, 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/spade.gif, 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/spade.gif (6 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $8, UTG+1 raises to $24, CO folds, Button folds, SB folds, BB folds, Hero raises to $70, UTG+1 raises to $201.6, Hero calls $131.60.



Final Pot: $415.20

[Matt]

Your hand will improve more than half the time with two cards to come. The problem is, your hand may not be good even if a ten or an ace comes. My guess is that he has a set of fives or twos. I suppose he could have a set of aces, but I assume he would almost always raise with that hand before the flop. He could also have A5s or A2s, although that is less likely.

I ran some simulations on PokerStove. If his range is 55, 22, A5s, or A2s, you will win about 38% of the time. If he has 55 or 22, your equity drops to 30%. After all the betting and raising, your pot odds are close to 2.4-1. With those pot odds, I would call but I wouldn't be happy about it.

I can't evaluate your play on the flop. I have almost no experience in NL cash games. In a tournament, I don't mind going all-in with a strong draw if either I or my opponent are short-stacked. That's a completely different scenario though.

By the way, I like your pre-flop call. Suited aces do well in NLHE, as long as you can see the flop cheaply and know when to get away from top pair when it's beaten.

[MJPerry]

I fold this preflop. You're UTG with a weak ace, I tend not to start limping with them until I'm in late-middle position.

His AF is through the roof but I'm just calling his raise to $24. You're certainly getting the right implied odds to felt him if you hit your flush, but I'm certainly not 3-betting this. I'll call his raise and hope to hit a spade. I don't like getting to involved with marginal/weak aces (to me that's <AQ)