AA against possible flush

[Mr.Fivestring]

Villians stats are 35.8/6.7/1.76



PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG ($87.15)
UTG+1 ($49.45)
MP1 ($116.60)
MP2 ($105.65)
CO ($100.30)
Button ($96.50)
SB ($97.95)
Hero ($100.25)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/club.gif, Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/spade.gif.
UTG raises to $5, 6 folds, Hero raises to $13, UTG calls $8.

Flop: ($26.50) Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/diamond.gif, 8http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/diamond.gif, 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/club.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $22, UTG calls $22.

Turn: ($70.50) 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/diamond.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks.

River: ($70.50) 9http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/spade.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $52.15 (All-In), Hero ?


Is anyone just going to shut down here on the turn. Should I have bet the turn OOP. Also lots of players will represent the flush on the river after a check and can be a good way to induce a bluff. That was one of my thoughts anyway, especially against this type of player.

[Nima]

I would definitely call here...
I think folding is a mistake... I think you should have pushed on the turn.

I put him on KQ or JQ (not likely since he raised from UTG). AQ is unlikely since you have two of the queens...

[Matt]

I have no idea how to handle these situations in NL. Perhaps you could have made a blocking bet on the river. I really don't know though. My NL play is not that advanced.

[Gokhan Yildirim]

From the way he/she acts on flop, I say he/she surely had Q. Then after seeing the turn, he/she called because he/she also had the possibility to get a flush now. And on the river, he/she either made it, or he went all-in feeling safe Q is the biggest card on the table. Highly likely he had the flush though.


edit: Just saw the pictures embedded in the message, didn't see them yesterday. Well, now analyzing this again after seeing the pictures, I say if he was a good player, he wouldn't show that he got the flush at turn. At least I wouldn't. But if he was an average player, he woul have probably got beaten by his excitement and showed he got something at the turn. At the river, I see that you check and he goes all-in. So there is also a possibility that he had pocket Q9. And when he saw 9 on the river he got encouraged by your check and went all-in with 2 pairs.

[MJPerry]

I make it $15 preflop.

Flop is fine.

Turn is a terrible card to check. Anyone holding a single diamond gets a free shot at their draw.

I'd make a $40 block bet on the river.

And I put the villain on AQ but since you posted you called and he had 99 right?

[TJericho]

The likely hands, in my mind, that UTG is holding in this pot are A:diamonds: x:diamonds: , AQ, KQ - and as a stretch, QQ, or 88. The diamonds and AQ is less likely since you're holding two of 'em, and KQ in his position seems more likely: he'd only call on the flop because he might be weak, check the turn and bet the river (thinking perhaps that he escaped an AK), much as he did.

All the same, I would have pushed on the turn. It's plausible that you were beat in this hand, but I think more often than not you'd win it.

Even since you checked the turn, I'd have called his river bet.

[davidab157]

$18 preflop for me, $17 minimum.

lol MJ, how can we block bet the river when effective stack is half pot?

I like checking from turn onwards and try to get him to bluff. I guess you could shove the turn but I'd want some reads as to how lightly he'll call off KQ or something.

[bigmike667]

I would have also called. I would have raised at the flop. And raised a bit at the turn card.

[davidab157]

Yeah and we're not checking the turn to then give up when the draw misses and he shoves. You have to call.

[Steve-O]

$70 pot on the turn and he has $52 left, just shove since you shouldn't fold if he does.