Here is the table I put together for the game tonight:
- CBS Sports Line: Green Bay to win
- Pick Source 1: Over 43.5
- Pick Source 2: Green Bay Packer -3
- Pick Source 3: Baltimore Ravens +3.5.
- ESPN Pick: Green Bay to win. However ESPN Accuscore says something different but I’m not sure if I can publish that.
- Yahoo Pick: Green Bay to win
- My Pick: Green Bay -3.
Right now the line has changed to -3 for Green Bay showing more betting on Baltimore is taking place. I don’t usually trust Yahoo or ESPN picks but when they are good when you need the extra push.
Both teams have gone over the U/O line for their past game and this game has potential for a good number of big plays so Over seems like a good pick.
Given line has moved in favor of betting on Green Bay and most picks are Green Bay, I would pick a Parlay on Green Bay + Over.
Tags: baltimore, green bay, NFL, pick
Posted in Sports Betting | No Comments »
So IĀ have decided to take two new approaches to sports betting:
- Mathematical: I am going to run analysis (I have hand coded a program) to analyze the games for the past one year to find any pattern in the games and spread. I am convinced that I can find a pattern in the opening bets. I am mainly trying to find patterns that would cover 3 team teaser bets more than 75% of the time.
- Pick Average: Because I own this website I get free picks from many sports betting pick sites. I also have few friends who are very good at sports betting and get weekly tips from then. I plan to create tables for every game and lay down the picks of everyone along side my own pick and reasoning. I will then choose a few games a week and lay straight, parlay, and teaser bets on them.
I am going to provide my pick average tables for free this entire year. In fact I will keep posting them for free until the beginning of next NFL season.
Some of the websites who send me their picks don’t allow me to make their pick public so I simply use them to make a better selection in my own pick (which will be part of the table).
Tags: NFL, Sports Betting
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I play Limit Holdem games for the most part. The largest game available (legally) in Midwest is the 20/40 and occasional 40/80 limit game at Horseshoe casino in Hammond, Indiana.
I play there once every otherĀ week. On Wednesday nights they usually spread a $40/$80 Limit and sometimes a $40/$80 HORSE game. There are some good players in the game however you only need a few bad players in a high limit game to pay everyone else off.
I’ll blog about my next trip there (probably 10 days from now).
Tags: horseshoe, limit poker
Posted in Reviews, Trip Reports | No Comments »